La scuola delle quote

FC Barcelona Bàsquet v KK Crvena zvezda

Inizio: 2026-03-27 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Casa)

Previsione 61.04%1.64quota equa
EV -0.500%
Vantaggio -0.307%
Kelly -0.794%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%61.01%61.07%62.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.561.561.6367.57%64.14%64.10%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

KK Crvena zvezda (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.96%2.57quota equa
EV +0.120%
Vantaggio +0.047%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.04%38.99%38.93%41.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.412.422.5744.44%41.49%41.32%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.120%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.120%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 16:19
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.660%E -0.259%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 19:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 18:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 17:30
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 19:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 17:59
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 17:30
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 18:45
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 17:30
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 18:35
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:30
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -9.66%E -6.52%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 19:10
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.72%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.72%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:55
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 18:30
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 17:29
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 18:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.32%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.44%E -5.62%K -16.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.50%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:50
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.06%E -3.42%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:33
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 19:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.21%E -4.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.45%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 17:30
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -10.40%E -4.52%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 19:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -0.500%E -0.307%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -11.18%E -4.90%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.11%E -0.685%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-27 19:55
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 19:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-27 19:45
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-03-27 19:50
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-03-27 19:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%12.2%2026-03-27 19:10