Language:English
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prediction 56.79%1.76fair odd
EV +0.512%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%56.72%56.85%58.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.681.7763.29%59.56%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.478%
Kelly +0.835%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.21%43.28%43.15%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.192.3450.00%46.14%45.77%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local): 56.79%; Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit): 43.21%. For Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV +1.12%E +0.478%K +0.835%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 05:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 10:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.07%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.50%E -2.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.36%E -2.45%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.66%E -3.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 19:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 11:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.44%E -4.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.52%E -3.52%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -0.056%E -0.032%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.623%E -0.356%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.623%E -0.356%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.57%E -5.33%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.056%E -0.032%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.12%E -4.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.512%E +0.289%K +0.665%G +0.003% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.55%E -5.10%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.19%E -0.685%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.55%E -5.10%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.57%E -6.79%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.28%E -6.50%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.57%E -6.79%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.35% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |