L’École des cotesFrançais
FC Barcelona Bàsquet v Hapoel Tel Aviv
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Local)
Prévision 56.79%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.512%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.665%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%56.72%56.85%58.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.681.681.7763.29%59.56%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hapoel Tel Aviv (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.21%2.31cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.478%
Kelly +0.835%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 2.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.21%43.28%43.15%46.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.192.3450.00%46.14%45.77%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -6.87%E -4.19%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV +1.12%E +0.478%K +0.835%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 11:24 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.14%E -5.71%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 05:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.20%E -1.43%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.63%E -1.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.07%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.50%E -2.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 13:39 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.03%E -2.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.36%E -2.45%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 11:55 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.66%E -3.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 19:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 19:19 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 11:15 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 11:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.09%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 11:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.44%E -4.56%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.52%E -3.52%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 13:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -0.056%E -0.032%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.623%E -0.356%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.623%E -0.356%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.01%E -4.94%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.57%E -5.33%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -0.056%E -0.032%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -10.12%E -4.86%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.512%E +0.289%K +0.665%G +0.003% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -10.55%E -5.10%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -1.19%E -0.685%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -10.55%E -5.10%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.89%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.57%E -6.79%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.28%E -6.50%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.57%E -6.79%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 12:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 19:25 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.35% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.56% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.09% | 12.4% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |