Language:English
Dubai Basketball v Real Madrid
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dubai Basketball (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%56.93%56.43%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.651.7062.11%60.42%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV +3.94%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +2.81%
Growth +0.111%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%43.07%43.57%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.4047.62%45.36%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dubai Basketball (Local): 56.69%; Real Madrid (Visit): 43.31%. For Real Madrid (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.94%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.94%E +1.64%K +2.81%G +0.111% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +3.94%E +1.64%K +2.81%G +0.111% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV +0.471%E +0.203%K +0.356%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.396%E -0.172%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-24 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -0.396%E -0.172%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -1.26%E -0.553%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 15:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 03:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 08:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 15:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.16%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 09:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 06:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.89%E -3.21%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 04:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.76%E -3.64%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.97%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.03%EV -8.62%E -4.09%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.19%E -2.48%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.16%E -5.03%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.72%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.06%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-09-24 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 3.0% | 2026-09-24 15:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47% | 11.6% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |