Language:English
Beşiktaş J.K. v Valencia Basket
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beşiktaş J.K. (Local)
Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.10%53.23%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.8358.82%56.32%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valencia Basket (Visit)
Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%46.90%46.77%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.022.002.1051.02%49.59%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beşiktaş J.K. (Local): 53.15%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 46.85%. For Valencia Basket (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.74%E -1.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.74%E -1.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-25 11:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.02%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-25 16:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-25 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -2.08%E -0.994%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-25 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.87%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.02%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 11:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.61%E -0.767%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.17%E -4.17%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.36%E -2.65%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.99%E -4.00%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-25 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.23%E -3.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-25 10:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.02%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.59%E -4.99%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.29%E -3.15%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-25 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-09-25 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 16:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.84% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18% | 11.2% | 2026-09-25 14:50 |