Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV -0.810%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.704%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.05%46.13%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.072.062.1552.63%48.39%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 53.87%1.86fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.95%53.87%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8060.24%57.30%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 46.13%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 53.87%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.810%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.810%E -0.377%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.810%E -0.377%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.19%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.19%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.05%E -6.02%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 16:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.20%E -2.95%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.50%E -2.17%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.50%E -2.17%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.20%E -2.95%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 06:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 07:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 07:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 16:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 06:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 06:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.12%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.12%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.34%E -6.50%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.58%E -6.38%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-20 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 0.1% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 19:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |