La scuola delle quote

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inizio: 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Casa)

Previsione 46.13%2.17quota equa
EV -0.810%
Vantaggio -0.377%
Kelly -0.704%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.05%46.13%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.072.062.1552.63%48.39%48.54%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.87%1.86quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%53.95%53.87%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.751.751.8060.24%57.30%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.810%E -0.377%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 16:55
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.810%E -0.377%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 16:55
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.27%E -0.594%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:45
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.19%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.19%E -1.03%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 17:45
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 17:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 19:34
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.61%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 14:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 17:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.05%E -6.02%K -14.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 16:48
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 18:35
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 19:20
William Hill2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 08:19
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.20%E -2.95%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 19:20
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.50%E -2.17%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 18:30
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.50%E -2.17%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.20%E -2.95%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 16:54
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 11:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 06:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 16:49
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 16:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 07:49
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 07:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 07:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 16:49
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 16:40
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 11:30
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 11:30
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.88%E -2.88%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.74%E -3.28%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:15
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 18:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 06:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 06:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 14:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 14:59
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.12%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 16:54
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.19%E -4.12%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.34%E -6.50%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.58%E -6.38%K -16.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-20 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-03-20 19:40
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%3.5%2026-03-20 19:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%12.3%2026-03-20 14:59