Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Maccabi Tel Aviv

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)

Prediction 47.11%2.12fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%47.08%47.12%47.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.992.002.0655.56%50.34%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)

Prediction 52.89%1.89fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.33%52.92%52.88%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.771.771.8160.98%56.55%56.34%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 47.11%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 52.89%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.06, with an expected value of -2.95%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.95%E -1.43%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.43%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 20:24
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.84%E -2.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:24
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.84%E -2.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:44
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.84%E -2.40%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.38%E -3.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 20:24
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.50%E -4.91%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.72%E -3.40%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.85%E -3.29%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.72%E -3.40%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.91%E -3.93%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.67%E -3.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.91%E -3.93%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 20:24
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.14%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.91%E -3.93%K -9.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 20:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.67%EV -15.20%E -8.45%K -19.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.33%EV -13.26%E -8.09%K -20.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-25 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.