Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV +5.20%
Edge +2.00%
Kelly +3.25%
Growth +0.169%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%40.33%40.57%43.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.342.302.6047.17%42.76%43.48%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.08%59.67%59.43%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.591.6666.67%62.94%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 40.46%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 59.54%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.20%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -1.68%E -0.692%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.49%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-24 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-24 18:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.51%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.51%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 13:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.77%E -4.38%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.22%E -6.71%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.98% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.6% | 2026-09-24 13:04 |