預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Maccabi Tel Aviv

開賽時間: 2026-09-24 18:46 UTC

最終賽果: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne 84–74 Maccabi Tel Aviv

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

43 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (主隊)

預測 40.46%2.47公平賠率
EV +5.20%
優勢 +2.00%
Kelly +3.25%
成長率 +0.169%

假設最高賠率為 2.60

博彩公司預測分布
36.59%40.33%40.57%43.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.122.342.302.6047.17%42.76%43.48%38.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Maccabi Tel Aviv (客隊)

預測 59.54%1.68公平賠率
EV -1.16%
優勢 -0.701%
Kelly -1.76%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.66

博彩公司預測分布
56.08%59.67%59.43%63.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.591.591.6666.67%62.94%62.89%60.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (主隊):40.46%;Maccabi Tel Aviv (客隊):59.54%。 對於「ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.60,對應+5.20%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (43 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.20%E +2.00%K +3.25%G +0.169%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.69%E -7.13%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 15:30
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -1.68%E -0.692%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.49%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 18:15
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 13:30
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.90%E -1.21%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 18:18
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -9.50%E -6.25%K -18.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 18:14
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.51%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 18:10
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.51%E -1.91%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 18:15
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 18:15
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.92%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.33%E -3.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:15
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 18:15
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 13:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.94%E -3.02%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.90%E -5.82%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:15
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.95%E -1.81%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.55%E -2.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 18:10
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.93%E -3.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.75%E -3.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.12%E -4.56%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.14%E -2.57%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.96%E -3.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.77%E -4.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.74%E -2.96%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:10
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -14.22%E -6.71%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -1.16%E -0.701%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 18:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-09-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-09-24 18:25
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-09-24 18:25
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-09-24 18:25

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.56%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.98%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%11.6%2026-09-24 13:04