Language:English
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.668%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.99%29.04%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.893.233.253.5034.60%30.92%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 70.95%1.41fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -5.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.84%71.01%70.96%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.89%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local): 29.05%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 70.95%. For ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +0.219%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +0.219%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -0.653%E -0.191%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.55%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 06:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 06:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 11:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.09%E -1.51%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 17:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -10.82%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -2.09%E -1.51%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.16%EV -16.05%E -5.55%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.84%EV -2.80%E -2.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.98% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 02:10 |