La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce SK
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Casa)
Previsione 29.05%3.44quota equa
EV +1.67%
Vantaggio +0.477%
Kelly +0.668%
Crescita +0.011%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%28.99%29.04%32.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.893.233.253.5034.60%30.92%30.77%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)
Previsione 70.95%1.41quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -5.49%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.84%71.01%70.96%72.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.89%74.63%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.67%E +0.477%K +0.668%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +0.219%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +0.219%E +0.063%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -0.653%E -0.191%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.23%E -0.363%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.14%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.05%E -5.38%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| GTbets | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -5.01%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.55%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 06:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 06:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -5.97%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 11:09 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.93%E -3.68%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.09%E -1.51%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 17:39 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 11:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -10.82%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -2.09%E -1.51%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.34%E -4.81%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 14:55 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.51%E -2.58%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.22%E -3.12%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.63%E -4.24%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 02:09 |
| BetUS | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.16%EV -16.05%E -5.55%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.84%EV -2.80%E -2.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.0% | 2026-04-16 17:55 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.98% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 02:10 |