Language:English
AS Monaco v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AS Monaco (Local)
Prediction 69.66%1.44fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%69.56%69.73%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.71%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit)
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV +0.133%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.44%30.27%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.083.3035.71%32.60%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Monaco (Local): 69.66%; Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit): 30.34%. For Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.296. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.133%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.133%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.133%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -1.08%E -0.331%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.38%E -0.426%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -2.60%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.18%E -2.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -8.06%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.57%EV -8.36%E -2.77%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |