L’École des cotesFrançais
AS Monaco v Maccabi Tel Aviv
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AS Monaco (Local)
Prévision 69.66%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -6.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.06%69.56%69.73%70.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.71%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Maccabi Tel Aviv (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV +0.133%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.058%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%30.44%30.27%32.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.083.3035.71%32.60%32.52%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.133%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.133%E +0.040%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -1.08%E -0.331%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.38%E -0.426%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.70%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.30%EV -2.60%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.05%E -6.10%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.90%E -0.907%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| William Hill | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.18%E -2.29%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.94%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.96%E -4.42%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -7.45%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -8.06%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.43%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.57%EV -8.36%E -2.77%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.97%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.66%E -4.97%K -19.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.49%E -3.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.87%E -2.81%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.00%E -4.14%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.48%E -1.77%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -13.52%E -4.74%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.27%E -3.87%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.04%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64% | 2.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |