语言:简体中文
AS Monaco v Hapoel Tel Aviv
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
AS Monaco (主队)
预测 56.53%1.77公平赔率
EV +0.618%
优势 +0.347%
Kelly +0.793%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 1.78
博彩公司预测分布
53.89%56.51%56.48%58.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.691.681.7863.29%59.26%59.52%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队)
预测 43.47%2.30公平赔率
EV -0.012%
优势 -0.005%
Kelly -0.010%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
41.58%43.49%43.52%46.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.50%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：AS Monaco (主队)：56.53%；Hapoel Tel Aviv (客队)：43.47%。 对于“AS Monaco (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.78，对应+0.618%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.618%E +0.347%K +0.793%G +0.005% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.58%E -4.60%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.64%E -0.944%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -10.01%E -4.84%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.19%E -0.972%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 17:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.19%E -0.972%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 17:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -9.14%E -4.37%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -0.447%E -0.195%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.69%E -6.76%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 17:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 17:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |