La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v Hapoel Tel Aviv

Inizio: 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC

Finale: AS Monaco 105–85 Hapoel Tel Aviv

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 56.53%1.77quota equa
EV +0.618%
Vantaggio +0.347%
Kelly +0.793%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.89%56.51%56.48%58.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.691.681.7863.29%59.26%59.52%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hapoel Tel Aviv (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.47%2.30quota equa
EV -0.012%
Vantaggio -0.005%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.58%43.49%43.52%46.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.50%46.51%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.618%E +0.347%K +0.793%G +0.005%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.58%E -4.60%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.64%E -0.944%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:14
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:14
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:15
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:15
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:14
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.21%E -1.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 17:14
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.34%E -1.95%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:14
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:59
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -10.01%E -4.84%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.90%E -2.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:40
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.19%E -0.972%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 17:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.47%E -2.64%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 16:54
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.62%E -1.17%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 17:18
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.49%E -1.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 17:04
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 17:04
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 17:05
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.03%E -3.00%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:54
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.012%E -0.005%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 16:54
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.19%E -0.972%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:23
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 17:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:54
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:54
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 17:04
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -5.60%E -3.35%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -9.14%E -4.37%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -4.79%E -2.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 17:04
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:14
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.40%E -3.48%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:04
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -0.447%E -0.195%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.43%E -5.20%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.87%EV -10.69%E -6.76%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 17:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-17 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-17 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-17 17:24
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-17 17:24
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-04-17 17:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%12.3%2026-04-16 16:15