Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco (Local)

Prediction 51.50%1.94fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.658%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.55%51.51%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.831.9357.80%54.80%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.45%48.49%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0253.48%50.92%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Monaco (Local): 51.50%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 48.50%. For AS Monaco (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.612%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.612%E -0.317%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.19%E -1.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 05:54
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:14
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:15
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.48%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.93%E -2.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.25%E -2.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:44
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:09
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:04
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:13
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:34
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:20
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.91%E -6.31%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 14:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-04-24 02:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%3.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%14.0%2026-04-24 02:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.57%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%12.5%2026-04-23 10:19