La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Inizio: 2026-04-24 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 51.50%1.94quota equa
EV -0.612%
Vantaggio -0.317%
Kelly -0.658%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.55%51.51%53.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.821.831.9357.80%54.80%54.64%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.50%2.06quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%48.45%48.49%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.961.952.0253.48%50.92%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -0.612%E -0.317%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:45
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.19%E -1.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 05:54
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 21:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:14
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.70%E -1.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 14:16
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.22%E -2.27%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 17:15
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.48%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 14:24
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:14
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 17:15
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.93%E -2.52%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 14:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.73%E -2.56%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:10
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.25%E -2.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 00:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.02%E -1.00%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:34
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.28%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:09
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:34
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.31%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:09
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:34
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:13
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:34
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.88%E -5.65%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 10:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.91%E -6.31%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 14:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-04-24 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%2.3%2026-04-24 02:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%3.1%2026-04-23 22:05
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%14.0%2026-04-24 02:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.57%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.35%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%12.5%2026-04-23 10:19