La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 15:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:25 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:27 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -14.56%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.31%E -5.68%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |