La scuola delle quote

AS Monaco v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne

Inizio: 2026-04-08 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AS Monaco (Casa)

Previsione 76.27%1.31quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -2.47%
Kelly -11.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.81%76.28%76.19%78.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.56%80.65%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.73%4.21quota equa
EV +3.24%
Vantaggio +0.745%
Kelly +0.967%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.76%23.72%23.81%27.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.984.004.3529.41%25.11%25.00%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031%5.6%2026-04-08 16:55
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-08 15:54
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013%4.6%2026-04-08 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 16:55
William Hill1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 05:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:09
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:10
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 13:25
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 13:24
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:49
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:50
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:50
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:50
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:25
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 13:25
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 13:25
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 13:14
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:24
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:25
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 15:25
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:50
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:55
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 13:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 15:24
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 16:50
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 16:50
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 16:49
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:27
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 16:50
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 16:50
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 16:50
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 15:29
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 17:00
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 13:15
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 13:19
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:49
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 16:49
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -14.56%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-08 16:55
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.31%E -5.68%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-04-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-04-08 17:20
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-04-08 17:25
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-08 17:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%11.5%2026-04-08 16:50