L’École des cotesFrançais
AS Monaco v ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AS Monaco (Local)
Prévision 76.27%1.31cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -11.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.81%76.28%76.19%78.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.56%80.65%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.73%4.21cote équitable
EV +3.24%
Avantage +0.745%
Kelly +0.967%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.76%23.72%23.81%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.984.004.3529.41%25.11%25.00%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 15:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +2.05%E +0.477%K +0.622%G +0.013% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| William Hill | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 05:20 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.320%E -0.076%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.27%E -0.305%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| ReBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.88%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.90%E -3.10%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:25 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -6.02%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:27 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.19%E -5.03%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 15:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.67%E -3.73%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.95%E -5.70%K -31.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -14.56%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -3.14%E -2.47%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -19.31%E -5.68%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-08 17:25 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 16:50 |