Language:English
Anadolu Efes v AS Monaco
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Prediction 63.27%1.58fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.53%63.11%63.41%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.59%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AS Monaco (Visit)
Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.89%36.59%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.602.6643.48%39.13%38.46%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anadolu Efes (Local): 63.27%; AS Monaco (Visit): 36.73%. For Anadolu Efes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.29%E -0.829%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.08%E -2.80%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.29%E -0.829%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.82%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.72%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.82%E -2.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.78%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.31%E -0.868%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -7.82%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.45%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.89%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.78%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |