L’École des cotesFrançais
Anadolu Efes v AS Monaco
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Anadolu Efes (Local)
Prévision 63.27%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.829%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.53%63.11%63.41%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.59%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AS Monaco (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.73%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.868%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.89%36.59%39.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.602.6643.48%39.13%38.46%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.29%E -0.829%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -7.08%E -2.80%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.29%E -0.829%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.93%E -1.24%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.82%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.72%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-19 15:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.19%E -2.09%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 15:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.82%E -2.52%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 16:19 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 16:58 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.78%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 16:54 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:00 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -15.53%E -6.75%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.31%E -0.868%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| GTbets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -7.82%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.45%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -7.62%E -5.22%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.18%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 17:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.89%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.78%E -1.44%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-03-19 17:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 17:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 16:04 |