Language:English
Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yomiuri Giants (Local)
Prediction 60.53%1.65fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.33%60.65%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.03%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV -0.543%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.67%39.35%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.372.382.5245.05%42.19%42.02%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 60.53%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 39.47%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -0.543%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 02:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 08:27 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.543%E -0.216%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.12%E -0.856%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 08:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 05:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.81%E -6.58%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.16%EV -11.02%E -7.49%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.84%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.