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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-07 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yomiuri Giants (主队)

预测 60.53%1.65公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.82%60.33%60.65%61.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.03%64.10%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 39.47%2.53公平赔率
EV -0.543%
优势 -0.216%
Kelly -0.357%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
38.44%39.67%39.35%41.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.222.372.382.5245.05%42.19%42.02%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yomiuri Giants (主队)：60.53%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：39.47%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.53。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.52，期望值为-0.543%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.94%E -1.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 02:01
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.54%E -1.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:25
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.15%E -1.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:29
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-07 08:35
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.75%E -2.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 08:27
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.543%E -0.216%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.36%E -2.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.12%E -0.856%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 08:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 08:54
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.96%E -3.16%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.91%E -1.18%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.57%E -3.57%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.17%E -3.98%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:40
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 08:49
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.78%E -4.40%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 08:40
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 08:34
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 08:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 08:40
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.38%E -4.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.99%E -5.26%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 05:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.81%E -6.58%K -20.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.16%EV -11.02%E -7.49%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.84%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 08:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。