The School of Odds
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Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prediction 59.87%1.67fair odd
EV -0.012%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.018%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.68%59.95%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6765.79%63.09%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV -0.084%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.056%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.32%40.05%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.342.4945.45%42.92%42.74%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yomiuri Giants (Local): 59.87%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 40.13%. For Yomiuri Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.6702. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.6700, with an expected value of -0.012%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:30
William Hill🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.10%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 12:30
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.09%E -0.857%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 08:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.084%E -0.034%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.084%E -0.034%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 08:50
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 08:28
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:30
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:35
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 08:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.10%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 08:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:30
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:55
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:39
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.99%E -5.92%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.