L’École des cotes

Yomiuri Giants v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yomiuri Giants (Local)

Prévision 59.87%1.67cote équitable
EV -0.012%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.018%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%59.68%59.95%61.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6765.79%63.09%62.89%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.13%2.49cote équitable
EV -0.084%
Avantage -0.034%
Kelly -0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.97%40.32%40.05%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.332.342.4945.45%42.92%42.74%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:30
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.10%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 12:30
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.10%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 08:55
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.09%E -0.857%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:50
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:04
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.60%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-09 19:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 08:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 08:54
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.084%E -0.034%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:30
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.084%E -0.034%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-10 08:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 08:30
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 08:50
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.70%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 08:28
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.89%E -1.20%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 08:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 08:35
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:30
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:35
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 08:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:35
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 08:35
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 08:30
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 08:35
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.10%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 08:40
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:30
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 08:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:55
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:39
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 08:35
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.99%E -5.92%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 08:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.