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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)
Prediction 53.71%1.86fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.81%53.62%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.37%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 46.29%2.16fair odd
EV -0.013%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.011%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.19%46.38%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.042.052.1652.91%49.02%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 53.71%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 46.29%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.1603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.1600, with an expected value of -0.013%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.935%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 06:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.935%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 06:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.40%E -2.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.40%E -2.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -0.013%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-17 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 08:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 08:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.47%E -3.11%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.40%E -0.658%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 08:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.86%E -0.880%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-16 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.18%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-16 14:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-16 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -11.12%E -5.79%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-17 08:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-16 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -12.51%E -6.62%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-17 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.