默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-07-17 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 53.71%1.86公平赔率

EV -1.71%

优势 -0.935%

Kelly -2.06%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

52.22%53.81%53.62%55.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.37%57.47%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 46.29%2.16公平赔率

EV -0.013%

优势 -0.006%

Kelly -0.011%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布

44.59%46.19%46.38%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.892.042.052.1652.91%49.02%48.78%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：53.71%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：46.29%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.1603。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.1600，期望值为-0.013%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.935%K -2.06%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 06:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.71%E -0.935%K -2.06%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 06:55
Fanatics🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 08:55
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 08:55
NordicBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.40%E -2.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 08:55
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.40%E -2.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -0.013%E -0.006%K -0.011%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-07-17 08:30
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.64%E -2.25%K -4.38%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 08:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-17 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-17 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-17 08:48
BetUS🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.93%E -2.79%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-17 08:20
1xBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.47%E -3.11%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.40%E -0.658%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-17 08:10
William Hill🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.86%E -0.880%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-16 20:40
Coolbet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-17 08:40
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.01%E -3.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-17 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.18%E -2.02%K -3.91%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-16 20:40
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-16 14:04
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-17 08:55
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -6.55%E -3.76%K -8.84%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.25%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-17 08:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-17 08:55
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-17 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-17 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.08%E -4.09%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.42%E -3.71%K -7.42%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-17 08:50
Unibet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
BetRivers🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.16%E -4.77%K -11.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-17 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.69%E -5.11%K -12.42%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-16 15:04
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.79%E -1.33%K -2.54%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-16 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.19%EV -9.23%E -5.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.81%EV -11.12%E -5.79%K -12.09%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-17 08:55
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-16 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.09%EV -10.30%E -6.17%K -15.38%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -12.51%E -6.62%K -14.06%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-07-17 08:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。