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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)
Prediction 56.40%1.77fair odd
EV +0.394%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.33%56.28%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.681.7863.29%59.57%59.52%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 43.60%2.29fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.67%43.72%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.65%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 56.40%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 43.60%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.394%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.394%E +0.221%K +0.505%G +0.002% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.43%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.80%E -6.40%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-19 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -8.01%E -3.79%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 13:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.47%E -0.649%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-19 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.39%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 08:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.39%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-19 08:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-19 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.89%E -6.89%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -12.37%E -6.15%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.