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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-07-19 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 56.40%1.77公平赔率
EV +0.394%
优势 +0.221%
Kelly +0.505%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.62%56.33%56.28%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.681.681.7863.29%59.57%59.52%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 43.60%2.29公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
42.11%43.67%43.72%46.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.152.2650.00%46.65%46.51%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：56.40%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：43.60%。 对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.77。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.78，对应+0.394%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.394%E +0.221%K +0.505%G +0.002%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.31%E -4.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 07:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 07:15
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.43%E -1.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.80%E -6.40%K -12.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 07:15
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 08:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 08:50
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -8.01%E -3.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 08:55
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:23
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.47%E -0.649%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.39%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-19 08:49
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 08:50
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.70%E -3.13%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 08:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.39%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 08:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 08:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 08:10
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 08:50
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.94%E -4.20%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 08:30
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.63%E -5.33%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.62%E -5.18%K -10.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.89%E -6.89%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -12.37%E -6.15%K -12.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 08:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。