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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)
Prediction 58.95%1.70fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.86%58.86%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.611.6766.23%62.34%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 41.05%2.44fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%41.14%41.14%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.282.292.4046.73%43.90%43.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 58.95%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 41.05%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.56%E -0.932%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 13:12 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.81%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 04:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:18 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 21:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.99%E -2.62%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.30%E -0.966%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.76%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.81%E -6.41%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.40%E -6.84%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -10.99%E -7.28%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.15%E -5.68%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.