The School of Odds

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-07-18 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 56.97%1.76fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%56.97%57.03%57.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.671.6963%61%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 43.03%2.32fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.03%42.97%43.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2949%46%45%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -2.75%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-17 13:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 12:30
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 12:39
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.73%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 12:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -1.45%E -0.635%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 12:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 12:34
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 12:34
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 15:44
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.47%E -2.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 12:35
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 13:12
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:19
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 12:34
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 12:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 13:05
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.89%E -0.827%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 12:50
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 13:10
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 12:35
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 14:19
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 18:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.06%E -4.81%K -9.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 12:34
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 13:19
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.42%E -5.93%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 12:34
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-17 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.