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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-07-18 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 58.95%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.56%
优势 -0.932%
Kelly -2.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%58.86%58.86%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.601.611.6766.23%62.34%62.11%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 41.05%2.44公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -0.615%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.28%41.14%41.14%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.282.292.4046.73%43.90%43.67%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：58.95%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：41.05%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-1.48%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.56%E -0.932%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 13:12
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.81%E -3.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 04:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:19
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:19
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:18
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.32%E -2.03%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.46%E -3.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 21:19
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 08:55
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.71%E -1.14%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-18 08:35
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.91%E -2.40%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.99%E -2.62%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.48%E -0.615%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 08:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 08:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 00:15
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.30%E -0.966%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.76%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 08:49
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 08:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.27%E -3.94%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 08:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 08:45
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 08:55
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.81%E -6.41%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.40%E -6.84%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.63%EV -10.99%E -7.28%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.15%E -5.68%K -10.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-18 08:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。