The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.28%65.49%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.5171.94%69.37%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 34.61%2.89fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.129%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.72%34.51%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.442.702.702.9040.98%37.00%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 65.39%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 34.61%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.50%E -4.54%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.375%E +0.129%K +0.197%G +0.001%4.4%2026-08-07 02:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.36%E -0.476%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.05%E -0.724%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 08:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.47%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 08:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 15:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 08:50
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 08:55
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 08:55
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -7.93%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 08:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 08:45
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 08:45
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 08:54
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.71%EV -9.11%E -6.55%K -23.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.29%EV -15.55%E -6.37%K -10.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.