默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-08-07 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

65%

35%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 65.39%1.53公平赔率

EV -1.26%

优势 -0.837%

Kelly -2.48%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布

63.41%65.28%65.49%67.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.391.441.441.5171.94%69.37%69.44%66.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 34.61%2.89公平赔率

EV +0.375%

优势 +0.129%

Kelly +0.197%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布

32.94%34.72%34.51%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.442.702.702.9040.98%37.00%37.04%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：65.39%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：34.61%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.89。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+0.375%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.50%E -4.54%K -15.11%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.375%E +0.129%K +0.197%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-08-07 02:35
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.36%E -0.476%K -0.733%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 21:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.05%E -0.724%K -1.12%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-07 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-07 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-07 08:49
Coolbet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 08:49
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-06 21:40
FanDuel🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.47%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-07 08:50
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.15%E -5.03%K -17.02%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 15:09
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 15:10
DraftKings🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 08:50
Unibet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-07 08:55
BetUS🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-07 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.89%E -2.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-07 08:55
1xBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -7.93%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-07 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-07 08:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-07 08:45
ReBet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-07 08:49
NordicBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 08:54
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-07 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.03%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -13.47%E -5.39%K -8.98%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-07 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 63.71%EV -9.11%E -6.55%K -23.36%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 36.29%EV -15.55%E -6.37%K -10.80%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-07 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。