The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 53.33%1.88fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.25%53.25%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.23%56.34%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 46.67%2.14fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.75%46.75%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0952.36%50.06%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 53.33%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 46.67%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 15:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 04:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:20
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 04:20
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 04:20
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 19:24
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 04:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 03:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 15:40
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 04:23
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.20%E -3.08%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 03:50
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 18:04
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 23:29
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 04:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 03:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 03:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.