默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 53.33%1.88公平赔率

EV -2.40%

优势 -1.31%

Kelly -2.89%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

51.07%53.25%53.25%54.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.23%56.34%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 46.67%2.14公平赔率

EV -2.47%

优势 -1.18%

Kelly -2.26%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.09

博彩公司预测分布

45.33%46.75%46.75%48.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.912.002.002.0952.36%50.06%50.00%47.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：53.33%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：46.67%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.88。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.83，期望值为-2.40%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-11 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-11 15:45
Unibet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-12 04:19
PMU (FR)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:19
BetRivers🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -9.93%E -5.15%K -10.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:20
BetUS🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.94%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-11 16:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.26%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-04-12 04:20
1xBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-04-12 04:20
Fanatics🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-11 15:39
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-11 17:05
Coolbet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.00%E -2.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-11 19:24
William Hill🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.72%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-11 16:10
Betsson🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-12 04:35
NordicBet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-12 04:35
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-12 03:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-11 15:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-11 15:40
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-11 16:20
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-12 04:23
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.60%E -3.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-11 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.20%E -3.08%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-12 03:50
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-11 18:04
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-04-11 23:29
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-12 04:05
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-11 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-11 16:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-11 19:04
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.39%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.67%E -3.33%K -6.67%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-12 03:44
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-12 03:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.00%E -4.62%K -9.47%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-04-12 04:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。