Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 37.52%2.67fair odd
EV +8.80%
Edge +3.03%
Kelly +4.63%
Growth +0.407%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%37.48%37.78%39.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.262.532.502.9044.25%39.57%40.00%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 62.48%1.60fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.75%62.52%62.22%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.68%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 37.52%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 62.48%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +8.80%E +3.03%K +4.63%G +0.407%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -10.65%E -7.45%K -24.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 08:19
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -8.77%E -6.01%K -19.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 08:59
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 09:09
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 13:57
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 08:59
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 08:39
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 09:10
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 09:09
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 09:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-21 08:59
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 08:59
BetUS🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 09:09
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 09:00
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 09:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 09:09
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 08:49
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 09:00
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 09:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.84%E -5.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-21 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 39.25%EV -15.21%E -6.73%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.75%EV -8.77%E -6.01%K -19.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-21 09:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.