默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-06-21 09:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

38%

62%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 37.52%2.67公平赔率

EV +8.80%

优势 +3.03%

Kelly +4.63%

增长率 +0.407%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布

33.03%37.48%37.78%39.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.262.532.502.9044.25%39.57%40.00%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 62.48%1.60公平赔率

EV -1.90%

优势 -1.21%

Kelly -3.34%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布

60.75%62.52%62.22%66.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.68%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：37.52%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：62.48%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.67。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.90，对应+8.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +8.80%E +3.03%K +4.63%G +0.407%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -10.65%E -7.45%K -24.76%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-21 08:19
Unibet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -8.77%E -6.01%K -19.07%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-21 08:59
BetRivers🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 08:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.581%E -0.219%K -0.352%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-21 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.08%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.78%E -2.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-21 08:59
Coolbet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-21 09:09
Caesars🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-20 13:57
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.46%E -0.945%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 08:59
Pinnacle🎯	2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-21 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.33%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.40%E -6.48%K -20.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-21 08:39
FanDuel🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.46%E -2.17%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-21 09:10
Betsson🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-21 09:09
NordicBet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.15%E -2.03%K -5.73%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-21 09:09
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-21 09:09
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-21 09:10
Coral🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.21%E -2.48%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.78%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-21 08:59
1xBet🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.58%E -2.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -1.90%E -1.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-21 08:59
BetUS🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -7.33%E -2.97%K -4.99%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.51%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-21 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -7.71%E -3.13%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-21 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-21 09:09
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-21 09:00
ReBet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.65%E -3.74%K -11.08%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-21 09:09
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.40%E -2.88%K -8.30%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-21 09:09
Everygame🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-21 08:49
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.18%K -12.55%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-21 09:00
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.96%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-21 09:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.84%E -5.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.90%E -4.63%K -14.08%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-06-21 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 39.25%EV -15.21%E -6.73%K -12.07%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.75%EV -8.77%E -6.01%K -19.07%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-21 09:08

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。