Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV -0.202%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.168%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%45.76%44.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.052.072.2054.05%48.70%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +3.09%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.24%55.09%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.741.731.8863.29%57.41%57.80%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 45.36%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 54.64%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -8.82%E -4.39%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +2.72%E +1.45%K +3.09%G +0.084%2.9%2026-08-06 08:35
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV +2.72%E +1.45%K +3.09%G +0.084%3.7%2026-08-06 08:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.17%E +1.16%K +2.50%G +0.054%5.8%2026-08-06 08:33
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.11%K -17.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.17%E +1.16%K +2.50%G +0.054%7.0%2026-08-06 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-06 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%4.6%2026-08-06 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%5.3%2026-08-06 08:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%5.3%2026-08-06 08:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -16.08%E -8.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -0.014%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.65%E -0.918%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 08:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.65%E -0.918%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 08:25
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 08:20
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.83%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:15
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:15
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:19
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.202%E -0.092%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 04:25
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -0.655%E -0.299%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 05:20
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.83%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 08:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -1.56%E -0.720%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 06:09
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 04:20
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 07:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -12.03%E -7.47%K -19.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -8.82%E -4.39%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -13.67%E -8.65%K -23.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-06 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.