默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

45%

55%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 45.36%2.20公平赔率

EV -0.202%

优势 -0.092%

Kelly -0.168%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

42.97%45.76%44.91%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.852.052.072.2054.05%48.70%48.31%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 54.64%1.83公平赔率

EV +2.72%

优势 +1.45%

Kelly +3.09%

增长率 +0.084%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布

50.00%54.24%55.09%57.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.581.741.731.8863.29%57.41%57.80%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：45.36%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：54.64%。对于“Hanshin Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.83。当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.88，对应+2.72%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -8.82%E -4.39%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +2.72%E +1.45%K +3.09%G +0.084%	2.9%	2026-08-06 08:35
1xBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV +2.72%E +1.45%K +3.09%G +0.084%	3.7%	2026-08-06 08:25
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -13.36%E -6.99%K -14.68%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +2.17%E +1.16%K +2.50%G +0.054%	5.8%	2026-08-06 08:33
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -15.17%E -8.11%K -17.44%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +2.17%E +1.16%K +2.50%G +0.054%	7.0%	2026-08-06 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%	4.6%	2026-08-06 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.18%E -5.14%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%	4.6%	2026-08-06 08:40
NordicBet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%	5.3%	2026-08-06 08:35
Betsson🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +1.08%E +0.583%K +1.27%G +0.014%	5.3%	2026-08-06 08:34
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -16.08%E -8.69%K -18.92%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -0.014%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-06 08:35
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.65%E -0.918%K -2.07%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 08:40
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.54%E -5.92%K -12.15%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.65%E -0.918%K -2.07%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 08:20
Coolbet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.83%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-06 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:15
BetRivers🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:15
Unibet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:19
Bally Bet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -6.10%E -2.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:15
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.202%E -0.092%K -0.168%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-06 04:25
William Hill🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -0.655%E -0.299%K -0.551%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 05:20
FanDuel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -3.83%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 08:15
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-05 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -1.56%E -0.720%K -1.34%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-06 06:09
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 04:20
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-06 07:50
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-05 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-05 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-05 13:15
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.74%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-06 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -12.03%E -7.47%K -19.73%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-06 08:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 44.01%EV -8.82%E -4.39%K -8.73%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -13.67%E -8.65%K -23.57%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-06 08:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。