The School of Odds
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +3.46%
Growth +0.166%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%43.76%44.16%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.172.152.3851.02%46.12%46.51%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -0.924%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%56.24%55.84%59.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7762.89%59.98%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 44.02%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 55.98%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +4.78%E +2.01%K +3.46%G +0.166%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 16:19
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +1.26%E +0.547%K +0.967%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -11.00%E -6.92%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 15:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.944%E -0.420%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.26%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.26%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 04:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.91%E -2.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 04:39
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.924%E -0.522%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 04:40
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 04:49
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 04:49
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 04:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.52%E -3.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 04:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 04:48
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 04:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 04:50
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 04:50
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 04:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-06 04:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 04:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 04:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.924%E -0.522%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.20%E -5.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.71%E -7.00%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-06 04:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.