L’École des cotes

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV +4.78%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +3.46%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.35%43.76%44.16%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.172.152.3851.02%46.12%46.51%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.98%1.79cote équitable
EV -0.924%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%56.24%55.84%59.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.671.671.7762.89%59.98%59.88%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +4.78%E +2.01%K +3.46%G +0.166%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 16:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +1.26%E +0.547%K +0.967%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -11.00%E -6.92%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 15:36
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.377%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 04:39
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.944%E -0.420%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 04:49
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.26%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 04:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.26%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 04:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 04:49
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 04:49
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.91%E -2.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 04:39
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.924%E -0.522%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 04:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 04:49
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 04:49
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 04:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.52%E -3.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 04:49
MyBookie.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 04:48
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 04:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 04:49
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 04:50
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 04:50
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 04:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-06 04:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 04:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 04:49
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.924%E -0.522%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 04:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.20%E -5.00%K -12.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.71%E -7.00%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -9.88%E -6.14%K -16.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-06 04:47
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.