The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 59.14%1.69fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.11%59.34%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.611.6765.79%62.44%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.790%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.89%40.66%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.292.4245.45%43.75%43.67%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local): 59.14%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 40.86%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.739%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.739%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 08:50
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 08:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 08:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.12%E -0.463%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.94%E -0.808%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 08:55
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.66%E -3.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 08:48
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 08:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 08:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 08:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 08:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 08:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 08:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 08:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.