默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-05-14 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)

预测 59.14%1.69公平赔率

EV -1.23%

优势 -0.739%

Kelly -1.84%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

57.69%59.11%59.34%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.521.601.611.6765.79%62.44%62.11%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 40.86%2.45公平赔率

EV -1.12%

优势 -0.463%

Kelly -0.790%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布

39.28%40.89%40.66%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.292.292.4245.45%43.75%43.67%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Yokohama DeNA BayStars (主队)：59.14%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：40.86%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.42，期望值为-1.12%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.739%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-14 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.23%E -0.739%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-14 08:50
William Hill🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.77%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-14 08:50
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.70%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-14 08:55
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.12%E -0.463%K -0.790%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.94%E -0.808%K -1.38%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-14 08:55
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-14 08:55
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-14 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-14 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -7.66%E -3.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-14 08:45
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-14 08:48
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
BetRivers🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.88%E -3.98%K -7.22%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-14 08:55
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-14 08:55
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-14 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-14 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-14 08:55
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 08:55
Everygame🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.45%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 08:50
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.82%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-14 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.92%E -5.79%K -16.52%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-05-14 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.43%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-14 08:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。