The School of Odds

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 09:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prediction 63.81%1.57fair odd
EV +0.181%
Edge +0.115%
Kelly +0.317%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%63.66%63.95%65.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5770.92%67.33%66.67%63.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 36.19%2.76fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.908%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%36.34%36.05%38.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.392.582.602.7241.84%38.73%38.46%36.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV +0.181%E +0.115%K +0.317%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -10.25%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 08:25
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.37%E -1.55%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.14%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 08:37
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.01%E -1.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 08:55
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.01%E -1.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 08:55
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.56%E -0.574%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 09:00
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 08:40
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.37%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 09:10
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:54
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:53
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.92%E -3.30%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 09:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 09:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 08:55
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.56%E -0.574%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 09:05
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 09:05
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.84%E -4.68%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:10
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:54
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 09:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 08:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.75%E -6.12%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 09:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -10.03%E -7.11%K -24.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 37.11%EV -13.50%E -5.65%K -9.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-08 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.