L’École des cotes

Yokohama DeNA BayStars v Chunichi Dragons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Local)

Prévision 63.81%1.57cote équitable
EV +0.181%
Avantage +0.115%
Kelly +0.317%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%63.66%63.95%65.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5770.92%67.33%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chunichi Dragons (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.19%2.76cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -0.908%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.89%36.34%36.05%38.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.392.582.602.7241.84%38.73%38.46%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV +0.181%E +0.115%K +0.317%G +0.001%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -10.25%E -4.13%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 08:25
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.37%E -1.55%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.14%E -5.48%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 08:37
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.01%E -1.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.82%E -1.83%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 08:55
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.01%E -1.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 08:55
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.56%E -0.574%K -0.908%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 09:00
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.65%E -2.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-08 08:40
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.37%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 09:10
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:54
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 08:53
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 09:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.92%E -3.30%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 09:00
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.29%E -0.847%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 09:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.56%E -3.76%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 08:55
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.56%E -0.574%K -0.908%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 09:05
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.18%E -1.98%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.20%E -4.22%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 09:05
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.84%E -4.68%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 09:10
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 08:54
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-08 09:04
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.71%E -3.03%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 08:35
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:04
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.11%E -5.63%K -18.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.90%E -2.27%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.75%E -6.12%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -9.52%E -3.81%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-08 09:05
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.39%E -6.61%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.10%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 09:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.89%EV -10.03%E -7.11%K -24.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 37.11%EV -13.50%E -5.65%K -9.72%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-08 09:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.