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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 46.08%2.17fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%46.27%46.07%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.30%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 53.92%1.85fair odd
EV -0.244%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.287%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%53.73%53.93%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.751.751.8560.98%57.10%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 46.08%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 53.92%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.855. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.244%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-24 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-24 12:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-25 06:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-25 06:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 06:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 08:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 06:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 06:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 11:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 06:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 08:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 06:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 06:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.94%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -11.57%E -7.05%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 08:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -0.244%E -0.132%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.32%E -0.722%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.