默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-25 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 46.08%2.17公平赔率

EV -3.24%

优势 -1.54%

Kelly -2.94%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

45.33%46.27%46.07%49.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.30%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 53.92%1.85公平赔率

EV -0.244%

优势 -0.132%

Kelly -0.287%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布

50.80%53.73%53.93%54.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.641.751.751.8560.98%57.10%57.14%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：46.08%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：53.92%。对于“Yomiuri Giants (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.855。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.850，期望值为-0.244%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-25 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-24 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-24 12:24
FanDuel🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.24%E -1.54%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-25 06:09
1xBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.16%E -2.00%K -3.85%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-25 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.62%E -2.23%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-25 06:14
Coolbet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-25 06:44
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.56%E -2.57%K -5.92%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-25 08:34
BetRivers🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:50
Unibet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:44
Bally Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-25 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-25 06:09
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-25 06:09
Caesars🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 11:58
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-25 08:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-25 06:09
ReBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-25 08:04
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.54%E -2.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-25 06:14
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-25 08:39
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-25 08:39
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-24 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-24 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-24 11:54
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-25 08:54
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.84%E -3.92%K -7.84%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-25 06:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.69%E -4.94%K -10.09%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-08-25 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.96%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-25 08:54
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.94%EV -11.07%E -5.74%K -11.90%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -11.57%E -7.05%K -18.07%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-25 08:33
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -0.244%E -0.132%K -0.287%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-25 08:39
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.99%E -6.28%K -13.18%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.32%E -0.722%K -1.59%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-25 08:39

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。