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Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)
Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.66%43.39%43.65%45.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.172.162.3551.02%46.13%46.30%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 56.49%1.77fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%56.61%56.35%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.12%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 43.51%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 56.49%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.25%E +0.957%K +1.67%G +0.037% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +1.38%E +0.591%K +1.04%G +0.014% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-27 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.943%E +0.406%K +0.714%G +0.007% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.943%E +0.406%K +0.714%G +0.007% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 08:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.31%E -7.20%K -19.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 05:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -8.19%E -3.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 05:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-27 05:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 08:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 00:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 05:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.36%E -4.49%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-27 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.72%E -7.51%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-27 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.