默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-27 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)

预测 43.51%2.30公平赔率

EV +2.25%

优势 +0.957%

Kelly +1.67%

增长率 +0.037%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布

40.66%43.39%43.65%45.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.962.172.162.3551.02%46.13%46.30%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yomiuri Giants (客队)

预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率

EV -3.40%

优势 -1.99%

Kelly -4.79%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

54.81%56.61%56.35%59.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.12%59.88%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)：43.51%；Yomiuri Giants (客队)：56.49%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.30。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.35，对应+2.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetMGM🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +2.25%E +0.957%K +1.67%G +0.037%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-27 08:50
Pinnacle🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +1.38%E +0.591%K +1.04%G +0.014%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-27 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.943%E +0.406%K +0.714%G +0.007%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-27 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +0.943%E +0.406%K +0.714%G +0.007%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-27 08:50
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.23%E -0.543%K -0.971%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-27 08:55
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 08:45
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 08:45
DraftKings🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-27 08:35
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-27 08:28
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.31%E -7.20%K -19.84%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-27 08:50
Coolbet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-27 08:50
BetUS🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-27 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.57%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.03%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-27 08:45
Unibet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:55
BetRivers🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:55
Bally Bet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.02%E -2.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-27 08:55
Fliff🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-27 08:55
FanDuel🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.89%E -3.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-27 05:29
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -8.19%E -3.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-27 05:33
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-26 12:59
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 05:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-27 04:24
ReBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-27 08:05
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 00:44
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 00:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 00:44
BoyleSports🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-27 05:29
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-27 08:50
Betway🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-27 04:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -7.36%E -4.49%K -11.49%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-27 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.72%E -7.51%K -15.33%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-27 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。