Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local)

Prediction 45.41%2.20fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.849%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.23%45.39%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.072.072.1851.81%48.27%48.31%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 54.59%1.83fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%54.77%54.61%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.731.7961.35%58.08%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local): 45.41%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 54.59%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.00%E -0.460%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.00%E -0.460%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 08:34
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 07:54
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.36%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 08:44
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.38%E -1.91%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 08:44
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.73%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.11%E -3.55%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 08:44
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 08:29
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.47%E -2.55%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 08:29
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 07:54
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 07:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.84%E -5.29%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-26 07:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 08:43
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:19
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:19
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 08:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 07:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:44
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.02%E -2.88%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 08:44
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-26 08:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.20%E -4.24%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 07:44
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 07:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.75%E -4.58%K -11.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 07:44
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.56%E -3.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 08:44
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.89%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 08:49
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.54%E -5.35%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -2.29%E -1.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -10.54%E -5.35%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -9.38%E -5.65%K -14.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-26 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -12.35%E -6.40%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -11.02%E -6.76%K -17.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-26 08:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.